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Global Trade in Question While the Head of the World Trade Organization Steps Down
Uncertainty reigns at the top of the World Trade Organization, President Trump’s grumbling about China, and stocks are wobbling over trade concerns.
No, we didn’t get lazy and copy over a newsletter from last year—these things all happened yesterday. After getting tossed aside while everyone directs their attention to the you-know-what, trade news is back in the spotlight. And none of it is particularly good.
Yesterday, WTO Director-General Roberto Azevêdo stepped down from his position more than a year ahead of schedule, citing personal reasons.
- The WTO is a 25-year-old organization that plays referee for countries that trade with one another.
President Trump has been quite angry with this ref’s performance, arguing that most of the calls on unfair trade practices went China’s way. And he’s got allies on Capitol Hill: lawmakers have introduced two different pieces of legislation that would withdraw the U.S. from the WTO. Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) has said the group should be abolished altogether.
Time to talk about the you-know-what
Because it has been absolutely devastating for global trade, which could drop by a record 27% in Q2, a UN organization said this week.
- The coronavirus has dealt a double whammy to trade flows, slamming both supply and demand.
Meanwhile, the companies whose job it is to move boxes from one port to another are sitting on their butts just like the rest of us. Maersk, the Danish shipping giant, predicts container volumes will fall up to 25% in Q2. “Without a doubt it’s going to be the steepest ever drop in demand within a quarter” CEO Soren Skou said.
Bottom line: After the U.S. and China signed a “phase one” trade deal in January, many analysts hoped 2020 would be a year of relative peace in global trade. But in a few months the coronavirus has caused more disruption to globalization than a trade war did in a year and a half.
Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee Steps Down as He is Investigated for Insider Trading
Yesterday, Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC) stepped down from his position as chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee while a federal investigation into his stock sales continues.
- On Wednesday, federal investigators took Burr’s cellphone from his Washington, D.C.,-area home, per the LA Times.
What they’re investigating: In late January and early February, Burr was privy to briefings on the threat of the coronavirus pandemic and its potential economic costs. On Feb. 13, he sold shares totaling between $628,000 and $1.7 million.
- According to the WSJ, the sale saved Burr and his wife at least $250,000 in losses.
- Burr has denied wrongdoing, said the decision was based only on publicly reported information, and asked for a review by the Senate ethics panel.
Zoom out: This indicates the FBI’s probe into illicit stock trades is escalating. For a search warrant to be executed on a sitting member of Congress, it has to be approved by a senior DOJ official and a judge.
Is the Insurance Industry in Trouble?
The COVID-19 pandemic could cost the insurance industry $200+ billion, according to insurance marketplace Lloyd’s of London. If you’re thinking “good riddance, I haven’t seen a penny,” check out these numbers:
- $107 billion in underwriting losses
- $96 billion sapped from investment portfolios (money set aside to cover future claims)
Lloyd’s itself expects to dole out up to $4.3 billion—payouts it says are comparable to losses sustained after 9/11 and a hurricane trio in 2017.
But while Lloyd’s says COVID-19 will be the worst economic disaster for the insurance industry, Axios’s Felix Salmon countered with “Insurers are doing just fine.” His reasoning:
- COVID-19 losses still haven’t hit “megacat” territory, and 2020 losses are still tracking behind the $144 billion the industry sustained in 2017.
- The point of insurance is to pay out during bad times.
Plus, many insurance policies explicitly exclude pandemics. And while insurers face mounting claims for canceled events and workers comp, they’re saving in auto policies (less driving → fewer accidents) and health insurance (most elective surgeries are canceled/postponed).
The Unemployment System Has Been In Trouble Now it’s Getting Worst
Almost 3 million U.S. workers filed for unemployment benefits last week, bringing the two-month total since COVID-19 lockdowns began to 36.5 million. If those claims formed a state, they’d be the second largest in the country behind California.
Take a step back
While the number of new claims has technically dropped six weeks running, weekly totals are still near record highs. Unemployment insurance was built as a safety net, but even with emergency aid it wasn’t prepared for this.
How it works:
- Unemployment programs are joint ventures between the federal government (which sets guidelines) and states (which set the rules).
- Employers pay state and federal unemployment insurance taxes, and states give out the benefits to unemployed workers.
Zoom out: State unemployment insurance programs were left in tatters after the Great Recession, when a sudden spike in long-term unemployment depleted trust funds and forced many to borrow from the federal government. Heading into the COVID-19 crisis, most states had never fully recovered.
So where does that leave us? Read more here.
Is Automatic Aid from the Government a Good Idea?
Economists Want to Put Stimulus on Autopilot. Congress Has Other Ideas. The idea is to link government aid to certain indicators, like the jobless rate, so it shrinks or grows without further action by politicians.
Is this a good idea or not? When there is an economic crisis, you want a government response that is scaled accordingly. But you don’t know in advance just how long a crisis will last or how severe it will be.
Economists have a crisp-sounding solution: Calibrate government help, such as unemployment insurance and aid to state governments, so that it rises automatically when the economy is weak and falls as the economy returns to health. The unemployment rate or other economic indicators can serve as triggers. The concept of automatic stabilizers is embraced by many centrist and left-of-center technocrats, including the last two leaders of the Federal Reserve.
Congress has had little interest in this over the years — instead choosing to pass ad hoc packages that may or may not have been aligned with the magnitude of trouble the economy was facing at that moment.
Restaurants are Adding COVID-19 Surcharges to Their Prices and People Don’t Like it!
People are furious at restaurants adding COVID-19 surcharges, as food prices skyrocket and businesses struggle
- Restaurants are adding COVID-19 surcharges to combat rising meat prices during the coronavirus pandemic.
- However, after facing backlash, some restaurants have been forced to remove the surcharges, with many raising menu prices instead.
- Fresh meat prices were up 8.1% at the end of April, with experts saying they could rise by up to 20% in the coming weeks.
Millions of Bailout Money is Giving to a Major Trump Donor! Foul Play or Business as Usual?
Trump donor’s private jet company reportedly gets $27 million bailout — the largest of any other private jet company
- Clay Lacy Aviation, a private jet company, received a $27 million bailout from the federal government, according to a report from CNBC.
- The funds are a grant from the CARES Act and won’t need to be repaid, the report said.
- The company’s founder, Clay Lacy, donated the maximum amount to the Trump campaign in 2016 and gave $47,300 to the Republican National Committee the same year, according to OpenSecrets.
- The company itself gave $5,000 in 2018 to a Republican PAC.
- The Treasury Department told Business Insider that political affiliation has “absolutely no bearing” on funding. Clay Lacy Aviation did not respond to a request for comment.
Love & Hip Hop: Atlanta star Mo Fayne is facing federal charges of bank fraud.
A press release from the United States Department of Justice on Wednesday (May 13) accuses the reality star, real name Maurice Fayne, of deceitfully obtaining a small business loan meant for COVID-19 relief. Instead of using the loan for its intended purpose, the feds allege that Mo used the Paycheck Protection Program loan money to buy jewelry and pay off personal debts.
Per the report, Fayne submitted a PPP loan application for a company named Flame Trucking back in April, claiming 107 employees and a $1.5 million average monthly payroll. Within days of being approved for just over $2 million, Fayne is accused of using more than $1.5 million of it on a Rolex Presidential watch, a diamond bracelet, a diamond ring, a 2019 Rolls-Royce Wraith and $40,000 in back child support, among other things.
Top Finance and Hip-Hop News – 9.16.20
|*As of market close|
Breonna Taylor settlement is among largest payouts linked to a police shooting
The $12 million settlement with Breonna Taylor’s family is a historic move for Louisville, Kentucky, but across America it’s the latest financial repercussion in a police misconduct case.
More than six months after Taylor was killed inside her apartment as police officers executed a “no-knock” search warrant, the city is poised to pay its highest-ever settlement, a city spokeswoman told CNN.
The city previously paid $8.5 million for the wrongful conviction of Edwin Chandler, who served nine years in prison for a 1993 murder before he was exonerated, CNN affiliate WLKY reported.
Cities across the country have previously reached monetary agreements following high-profile police shootings. Cleveland agreed to pay $6 million to the family of Tamir Rice and New York City agreed to pay Eric Garner‘s family $5.9 million.
Civil rights attorney Ben Crump, who has represented the families of several police brutality victims — including George Floyd and Jacob Blake — said he believes Taylor’s settlement is one of the largest amounts ever paid out for a Black woman killed by police in the US.
While it’s unclear where the payout to Taylor’s family stands among all police misconduct lawsuits in the nation, here are other large payments that stemmed from police shootings in recent years:
Netflix Orders 10 Episodes of Animated ‘Good Times’ Series Co-Produced By Steph Curry
Netflix has given a 10-episode, straight-to-series order to a new animated take on Norman Lear’s classic sitcom “Good Times.” Carl Jones, whose credits include animated series “The Boondocks” and “Black Dynamite,” as well as TBS’ Tracy Morgan star “The Last O.G.,” will create, showrun and executive produce the project.
The new animated series will follow “the Evans family as they navigate today’s world and contemporary social issues. Just as the original did years ago, ‘Good Times’ strives to remind us that with the love of our family, we can keep our heads above water.
Lear and his Act III Productions company are partnering with basketball star Steph Curry and his production company, Unanimous Media, as well as Seth MacFarlane and his shingle Fuzzy Door, to develop the show.
The original “Good Times” aired for six seasons on CBS, from 1974 to 1979, and was created by Eric Monte and Mike Evans, and developed by Lear. It was a spin-off of “Maude,” which in turn was a spin-off of Lear and Bud Yorkin’s “All in the Family.”
LIL NAS X TAKING HIS ‘OLD TOWN ROAD’ ACT TO CHILDREN’S BOOKS
Lil Nas X can now call himself an author. The “Old Town Road” hitmaker has penned a children’s book titled C Is For Country, which is scheduled to be released in January 2021.
“I’m dropping the best kids book of all time soon!” he wrote on Instagram. “C IS FOR COUNTRY, out January 5, 2021 from @randomhousekids. I can’t wait to share it with you all. You can pre-order it right now at the link in my bio.”
C Is For Country is being published by Random House Kids, a division of the Penguin Random House company. Artist Theodore Taylor III is handling the book’s illustrations.
According to Random House, the book tells the story of “Panini the pony on a joyous journey through the alphabet from sunup to sundown.” The main character gets its name from Lil Nas X’s second multi-platinum selling hit.
C Is For Country is recommended for children ages 3-7 and can be pre-ordered here. The initial release includes hardcover copies, e-books and audiobook downloads.
Top Finance & Hip-Hop News – 9.10.20
|*As of market close|
Trump told Bob Woodward he knew in February that COVID-19 was ‘deadly stuff’ but wanted to ‘play it down’
President Donald Trump acknowledged the dangers of the coronavirus pandemic in a February interview with journalist Bob Woodward and acknowledged downplaying the threat in an interview a month later, according to an account of Woodward’s new book.
“I wanted to always play it down. I still like playing it down because I don’t want to create a panic,” Trump said in a March 19 call with Woodward, according to an audio clip posted Wednesday on The Washington Post’s website. The newspaper obtained a copy of the book, “Rage,” which is scheduled to be released next week.
In the same interview, Trump acknowledged that the disease was more deadly than he previously thought.
“Now it’s turning out it’s not just old people, Bob. But just today, and yesterday, some startling facts came out. It’s not just old, older,” Trump said, according to an audio clip, and then added, “young people, too, plenty of young people.”
Trump is locked in a difficult re-election battle against Democratic nominee Joe Biden, with his poll numbers sagging as he continues to get low marks from voters for how he handled the response to the virus.
Trump, speaking to reporters Wednesday afternoon, said he’d been trying to avoid “panic” and was showing “leadership.”
“We have to show calm,” he said. “Certainly I’m not going to drive this country or the world into a frenzy. We want to show confidence. We have to show strength.”
He sidestepped a question about whether lives could have been saved if he had been more forthright about the dangers posed by the virus.
“I think if we didn’t do what we did, we’d have had millions die,” Trump said.
Of his approach, Trump said, “We don’t want to go around screaming, ‘Look at this, look at this.'”
Biden noted Wednesday that over 190,000 Americans have died from the coronavirus and called Trump’s words “beyond despicable.”
“It was a life-and-death betrayal of the American people,” Biden said.
Woodward’s book is based on 18 on-the-record phone calls he had with Trump from December to July. Woodward, a highly respected veteran journalist who is an associate editor of The Post, also attributes details about the internal workings of the White House to a series of interviews with unnamed aides.
Woodward details that Trump was briefed on the virus in January.
“This is deadly stuff,” Trump told Woodward in a Feb. 7 phone call.
“You just breathe the air and that’s how it’s passed,” Trump told Woodward, according to The Post. “And so that’s a very tricky one. That’s a very delicate one. It’s also more deadly than even your strenuous flu.”
The book says Trump was given dire warnings in January about the virus that would lead to a worldwide pandemic in March.
“This will be the biggest national security threat you face in your presidency,” national security adviser Robert O’Brien told Trump on Jan. 28, according to the book. “This is going to be the roughest thing you face.”
Trump blocked some Chinese nationals from coming into the country in the days after the briefing, but he continued to play down the danger posed by the virus and repeatedly compared it to the flu.
“We only have five people. Hopefully, everything’s going to be great,” Trump said Jan. 30. A few days later, he said, “We pretty much shut it down coming in from China.”
Despite the early warning about the virus’s deadliness and its ability to be transmitted through the air, Trump continued to hold packed political rallies throughout February and told reporters at the White House on Feb. 27: “This is a flu. This is like a flu.”
On March 9, weeks after he told Woodward that the coronavirus was more than five times deadlier than the flu, Trump tweeted: “So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu. It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of CoronaVirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!”
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calf., slammed the president Wednesday in an interview on MSNBC, saying his “downplaying” cost lives.
The “denial about the threat is responsible for many of the deaths and infections that we have today, not all of them, but many of them, could have been prevented,” Pelosi told Andrea Mitchell.
The book also sheds further light on how much distrust some of Trump’s top officials had in the president.
Woodward recounted a conversation — which he attributed to unnamed sources — between Dan Coats, then the director of national intelligence, and James Mattis, who was the defense secretary at the time, in which Mattis told Coats, “The president has no moral compass.”
Coats agreed, according to the book.
“To him, a lie is not a lie. It’s just what he thinks. He doesn’t know the difference between the truth and a lie,” Coats is quoted by Woodward as saying.
According to the book, Trump — who came under fire last week for having reportedly referred to dead U.S. service members as “losers” and “suckers” — had little regard for his own generals.
In a conversation with trade adviser Peter Navarro, Trump complained: “My fucking generals are a bunch of pussies. They care more about their alliances than they do about trade deals.” The sources for that account were not named.
Navarro told reporters later Wednesday that Woodward had put “words in my mouth” that he had never said for his last book. “I don’t believe a word of what Bob Woodward says,” Navarro added.
Woodward also drew some criticism on social media, as well, where some complained that he should have spoken up about Trump’s comments much earlier. Woodward told The Associated Press that he was initially skeptical that Trump wasn’t being truthful.
CHARLAMAGNE THA GOD LAUNCHES BLACK EFFECT PODCAST NETWORK WITH IHEARTMEDIA
Charlamagne Tha God is hoping he has the next media empire on his hands. On Wednesday (September 9), the brash radio personality in partnership with iHeartMedia announced the launch of the Black Effect Podcast Network. The groundbreaking media network is slated to host 18 podcasts starting this fall.
The replay of his nationally-syndicated radio morning show The Breakfast Club will find a new home with the Black Effect Podcast Network. Charlamagne looks to “amplify, elevate, and empower” Black voices in the community he believes deserve to be heard on a larger scale and put in positions to succeed.
Talent joining the first Black-curated podcast network includes TV host Eboni Williams, activist Tamika Mallory and actress Jess Hilarious. There are also established podcasts already onboard such as former NBA players Matt Barnes and Stephen Jackson’s All The Smoke, N.O.R.E.’s Drink Champs, and The 85 South Show with DC Young Fly.
“Blackness has an immediate, culture-shifting effect on everything,” Charlamagne Tha God revealed in a statement. “Blackness controls the cool. Blackness is the culture, but Black Voices are not monolithic. The only way to appreciate the diversity of thought and experiences in Black culture is to build a platform for those voices to be heard.”
He continued, “Our goal is to shift the narrative from Black creators signing transactional deals, to instead forming legacy partnerships that build generational wealth while allowing each creative to have an equitable stake in their future. As a long-time partner of iHeart, it’s an honor to make history with them.”
CARDI B HIRED PRIVATE INVESTIGATOR TO ARREST TEEN ‘TRUMP SUPPORTER’ WHO LEAKED HER ADDRESS
Cardi B often finds herself the target of Trump supporting trolls due to her outspoken stance on politics. Normally, the Bronx-bred firecracker is able to turn a blind eye but as she said in a recent Instagram Live post, she wasn’t able to look past the person who shared her home address online.
“They be making fun of me,” she said. “I ignore them. I don’t give a fuck. Let me tell you something. Shit gets so intense that a Trump supporter posted my address and encouraged people to dox my home, to put my house on fire. I literally hired a private investigator and serve them with a warrant and arrest this boy. This boy was a fucking teenager. His parents were shook.”
Earlier this week, Cardi got into it with conservative pundit Candace Owens who called the Grammy Award-winning rapper “dumb and illiterate.” During the same IG Live stream, Cardi made it clear she wanted to use her massive platform to influence people to vote for Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
“It’s not a secret I use my platform to encourage people to vote,” she said. “I love politics… Today, Candace Owens said some real nasty things about me. Just like I can make millions of people pop their pussy… I can make millions of people go vote.”
Owens accused Biden of pandering to the Black community after he sat down for an interview with Cardi, but she hit back and shared an Instagram photo on Monday (September 7) of what she believes pandering really looks like.
“This what PANDERING looks like,” she wrote alongside a photo of Trump. “I will never praise no politician not even Obama, FDR or Bernie ONLY THE LORD !This is how Trump panders with black people while Candice concerns how Joe panders with me.”
Cardi’s interview with Biden took place via Zoom last month. After sharing her views on topics such as healthcare, police brutality and college eduction, Biden praised the multi-platinum artist.
“One of the things that I admire about you is that you keep talking about what I call equity — just decency, fairness, treating people with respect,” he told her. “John Lewis used to say the vote is the most powerful nonviolent tool you have. Use the power to change for the change you want.
“Thank you for your willingness to help. I’ll make mistakes as president, but I’ll admit to the mistakes I make, and you’re never going to have to wonder whether I’ll keep my word. Just check me out; I’ve never broken my word on anything I said I was going to do. Never in my life.”
A new initiative launched yesterday to change the look of American boardrooms—specifically, to make them look less white.
The Board Challenge, a project of Altimeter Capital, Valence, and theBoardlist, is challenging U.S. firms to add a Black director to their boards within 12 months.
- 17 companies, including Zillow and Nextdoor, have taken the pledge.
- Another 27 members with at least one Black board member (United Airlines, Nordstrom among them) are working with the project to advance diversity efforts.
Why it’s an issue: 9% of Fortune 500 board members are Black men and women, while 66% are white men and 18% are white women, according to theBoardlist—and Black representation on boards hasn’t budged in the last few years.
Some states, like California most recently, have introduced legislation that would require, not just “challenge,” publicly held companies to appoint at least one director from an underrepresented community by the end of 2021.
Zoom out: It’s notoriously difficult for newcomers to find a seat in the boardroom. 72% of directors have previous board experience and half are current or ex-CEOs, per Heidrick & Struggles.
Top Finance and Hip-Hop News – 9.9.20
MARKETS YTD PERFORMANCE
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TikTok will partner with Oracle in the United States after Microsoft loses bid
TikTok and Oracle will become business partners in the United States — a deal meant to satisfy the Trump administration’s national security concerns, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Talk of a sale began as President Donald Trump issued executive orders last month seeking to ban TikTok and requiring that its US operations be spun off from its Beijing-based parent company, ByteDance.
The exact nature of the agreement between TikTok and Oracle (ORCL) remains unclear, but it was not described as an outright sale. The news about Oracle came just after Microsoft announced that it will not buy TikTok’s US operations from ByteDance.
“We are confident our proposal would have been good for TikTok’s users, while protecting national security interests,” Microsoft (MSFT)
ByteDance has not responded to a request for comment. TikTok declined to comment.
Oracle did not respond to a request for comment.
Trump and other US politicians have said the app poses a threat to national security. TikTok has denied the allegation.
The agreement with Oracle comes days before a ban on TikTok in the United States was scheduled to go into effect. After September 20, the Commerce Department is expected to clarify which types of business dealings involving TikTok will be prohibited in the country, according to an executive order Trump signed August 6.
It’s not clear whether TikTok’s partnership with Oracle would allow the short-form video app to avert that ban. The scope and language of the order, along with Trump’s own off-the-cuff remarks about TikTok, have led to confusion about how a ban would be implemented. In another executive order, Trump said TikTok had until November 12 to find a buyer.
Separately, a TikTok employee has challenged the looming ban in federal court and is seeking a judicial decision to suspend the August 6 executive order. A hearing to consider the plea is scheduled for Tuesday. TikTok has also sued the Trump administration over one of the orders, calling it “heavily politicized.”
Multiple analysts had described Microsoft’s pursuit of TikTok as a potential “coup” for the Washington state-based firm — an opportunity to scoop up one of the world’s fastest growing social media platforms at a time when TikTok may be desperate to make a deal.
A deal could have also included an American retail giant: Walmart (WMT) was also participating in negotiations with Microsoft over a potential deal. The retailer had said it was interested in how TikTok could have bolstered its access to consumers.
Walmart on Sunday told CNN Business that it “continues to have an interest in a TikTok investment and continues discussions with ByteDance leadership and other interested parties.”
“We know that any approved deal must satisfy all regulatory and national security concerns,” the company said in a statement.
19 families buy nearly 97 acres of land in Georgia to create a city safe for Black people
“Welcome to Freedom!” exclaims real estate agent Ashley Scott as she surveys the nearly 97 acres of land that she and a group of 19 Black families purchased in August.
“I’m hoping that it will be a thriving safe haven for people of color, for Black families in particular,” Scott says.
The land sits just East of Macon in rural Wilkinson County, Georgia. Scott and her friend, investor and entrepreneur Renee Walters, didn’t initially plan on buying a large plot of land, but they had a vision that was clear — to create a safe space for their Black families.
“Being able to create a community that is thriving, that is safe, that has agriculture and commercial businesses that are supporting one another and that dollars circulating in our community, that is our vision.”
Dave East Accuses Delta Of Hiring Racist Trump Supporters As Flight Attendants
After being kicked off of a Delta flight, Harlem rapper Dave East is calling out the airlines for practicing bigoted behavior.
Dave took to his social media to post a video of the incident claiming that the crew racially profiled him. They didn’t think that he belonged in first-class.
No details are shared but what is captured in his three-minute recording of the aftermath as a gang of police officers lined up outside of the plane door, in the corridor connecting the plane to the terminal, next to the very polite captain.
His team is seen trying to rationalize with what looks to be an attendant and other passengers even tried to defend Nas’ protegé.
He wrote on his IG, “RACISM… @delta Fucc Delta! Racist Ain’t Even The Word! This Jamaican Man Defending me and He dont even know me!!!! He watched the racist harassment!!!! Delta Airlines Y’all Need To Stop Hiring these racist, stupid, ignorant TRUMP supporters that get nervous when they see a PERSON OF COLOR in first class!!! B##ch just ask me what I want to drink and keep it pushing!!!! S##t got me Hot”
There is no word from Delta Airlines or Dave’s camp about the resolve.
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